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Route 03 · The Horse Race

This El Niño against the great ones.

Every major El Niño since 1957, lined up on the January of its first year so the same month sits in the same place. The race is not only about the peak. It is about how early an event gets strong, how long it stays there, and how fast it falls away into what comes next.

The Horse Race

At the same point in the race

Where each event stood, and where it went

Each event's value at the same calendar point as this event's latest reading, and its eventual peak. Being ahead at this point is not the same as peaking higher, and the table shows how often the leaders held on.

EventAt this pointPeakPeak monthA year later